The Singularity Report
Editor · David Solheim
A paper of record for the Great Transition — the Singularity, ASI, and exponential growth.
ASI Arrival Clock · TSR
2026earliest2030central2033
- Last revised
- 21 October 2026, 01:00 UTC
- Direction
- sooner
- Why
- Published recursive-improvement eval moved a named threshold.
- How the clock moves
- Methodology
Latest articles
All articlesTSR Desk · mathematics · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
SemantEq: Faithful Bidirectional Equivalence of Formal StatementsTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
SWE-Shift: Evaluating Coding Agents in Evolving WorkspacesTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
Reproducible Evaluation as the Substrate for Safe Prompt Compression in Production AgentsTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
Async-RBench: Benchmarking Asynchronous Task Execution in LLM AgentsTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
Minimum Description Length Unsupervisedly Separates Law-Grade from Statistical-Grade KnowledgeTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
SWE-Clar: Can Coding Agents Clarify Incomplete Client Requirements and Deliver GreenfieldTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
How Ground Truth Shapes Retrieval Scores: Evidence-Aware Evaluation of a Retrieval-AugmentedTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
Guided Zero-Shot Anomaly Explanation for Anonymized Crowd Video Monitoring: Context,TSR Desk · mathematics · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
MBABench-2.0: Evaluating AI Agents on Constructing Financial Spreadsheets Beyond SimpleTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
Dementia-R1: Reinforced Pretraining and Reasoning from Unstructured Clinical Notes forTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
CEMIR vs. FISER: a comparative study of reasoning-based and enrichment-based approaches toTSR Desk · science · 26 October 2026, 07:00 UTC
Uncertainty-Guided Latent Diagnostic Trajectory Learning for Sequential Clinical Diagnosis
Latest anchor
SemantEq-Eval, a search without a model, reaches 100% precision and 65.6% recall on the ProofNetVerif test split under our adjudicated labels, against 95.8% and 61.8% for BEq+, and an 8.9-fold increase in its CPU time adds at most three pairs. It comes from a paper posted to arXiv on 26 October 2026. Statement autoformalization translates mathematics from natural language into a proof assistant such as Lean 4, and models now do it at scale. As provers get stronger, the burden of correctness shifts from the proof to the statement, that is, to whether the formal statement faithfully translates its source. Given a trusted reference formalization, the natural test is logical equivalence, and it proves too much. $P \leftrightarrow Q$ holds trivially for any two statements $P$ and $Q$ that the library proves, because a prover can prove each separately and pass through $P \leftrightarrow \mathrm{True} \leftrightarrow Q$. The stronger the prover, the more unrelated pairs pass. Earlier methods restrict the prover and check that each proof names the other statement. We introduce SemantEq, a more principled relation that instead requires each statement to turn into the other only through a chain of allowed steps, such as logical rearrangement and rewriting with the library's own equations. Our programs judge a proof by the proof term Lean checks, not by its tactic script. A language model finds more proofs, but under two of four prompts it proves both directions of about two in five of the non-equivalent pairs. SemantEq-ProofAudit audits each model-written proof under a policy derived from the relation and accepts none of the 104 non-equivalent pairs, and it raises recall on 407 equivalent pairs from 65.4% to 81.1% under the best prompt. Separating the generation of equivalence proofs from their acceptance lets a stronger prover raise recall without changing what an acceptance means. We release code and data at: https://github.com/hlxr89/SemantEq
Why it counts
SemantEq-Eval, a search without a model, reaches 100% precision and 65.6% recall on the ProofNetVerif test split under our adjudicated labels, against 95.8% and 61.8% for BEq+, and an 8.9-fold increase in its CPU time adds at most three pairs.
Sources
Primary source: primary source
What is not known
This brief does not claim independent replication. Claims that appear only on X and not in the primary source stay unknown.
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